Thursday, March 26, 2020

Fed's last Tango

Things are starting to look weird, eerie, dangerous and  sinister!

1.3 Billion people of India shut down
200 Million in Pakistan shut down

Many poor people in those countries are on daily wages...how long they can survive even if they receive meagre alms from the government!





This is the first time I came across some debunking about a prevalent narrative from Germans.  Remember German do not fool around.

Corona virus --- real virus mutating or from a bio lab or from a live animal maket in Wuhan is one thing and FED giving a biggest bailout in the history of mankind is another.

For health I pray---- for FED I follow the money trail.

US debt to gdp ratio is 108%.  According to world bank the percentage should be below 77%.  That means if the ratio is above 77% the holders of US debt can demand a higher interest rate due to the increase in risk factor.

USD is a leading world reserve currency meaning even if they print dollars it doesn't create inflation as being a reserve currency it has the "Trust" not only in US economy that the GDP of the US economy is so strong that it can sustain limitless printing of currency but also the world GDP backs up the currency. A Devine concept of sorts that God has given you limitless resources and so infinite resources requires infinite  currency that trades in those resources (note the economics books first chapter starts with resources are scarce and demand is unlimited a contradiction there or at least what all else should believe in).  And so FED can print USD whenever needed to stimulate economy and it does this by a process called monetizing the debt and by issuing treasury bonds.    Japan and China are biggest USA treasury bond holders. They are the two countries with highest exports to USA...While Japan is under US occupation China is reducing its stock of US bonds.

Recently Jerome Powel said:
"When it comes to lending, we’re not going to run out of ammunition," Powell said. "That doesn’t happen."

With this debt monetization Fed does bailouts of its banks and corporations as those entities indulge in steeling and robbing peoples monies and when everything is robbed and they cannot exist any more they are given a bailout shot to keep them alive and keep the financial system intact. Fed has done bailouts throughout its history but 2008 was one of the biggest.  This process keeps inflating the US debt bubble.  US government that is funded by US tax payers pays interest on it.  In essence US citizens generation after generation are now under debt.  But this debt is now so huge that it is un payable more on this latter.

Fed didn't fix the problem in 2008. Fixing in the form of decreasing spending: 800 military bases, useless defense toys such as 1 trillion dollar disaster called F35 Jet and Wars etc and so 2008 bail out was a  temporary stop gap solution. Those bailed out banks in US invested the free tax money in stock markets.  The problem was a ticking time bomb as without controlling the spending  and with Clinton globalization US is not producing enough physical goods to leverage the deficit financing without debt monetizing or quantitative easing.

Fast forward to September 2019 then something happened in money markets.  US banks stopped honouring Fed treasury bills in the repo trade.  To get a detail understanding of the repo trade read here but the take away is the fed had to intervene by providing more liquidity in the market to keep the "system running".

As this repo trade turmoil was on going  come Jan a new corona virus was detected in China.  While Trump and company were singing songs of exceptional nation of the world and didn't take immediate precautionary measures Corono Virus silently spread through out USA.

As of now most of the US is shut down except one thing FED printing press.

Apart from the liquidity that FED was injecting for repo market.  FED behind the facade of Corona Virus did a bailout of $6Trillion!.

Now lets get back to US debt being un payable.  Here is how...China is reducing its stock of US treasures. US sanctioning any country that wants to have an independent approach, many countries want to avoid trade in US dollars. Putin Discusses this here:




 The cherry on the cake turned out to be Putin declining to lower the oil production and in one master stroke Putin is taking out the House of Saud and US Shale oil producers.  Rest US tax payers are biggest financiers of US debt.  Well most of the US population especially in flyover states is unproductive(jobless), homeless and no means to pay for health insurrance.  I came to know that kids in US schools have to rely on meals provided by school by Step Curry instagram post:




Wow! People in USA cannot feed themselves what to talk about paying taxes.  And so the only remaining weapon left in USD is the trust inertia that may go on for another decade.  Decade was my guess before the COVID 19.  After COVID 19 world changed and now things look really bleak.  In any case once that Trust Inertia is gone or some one calls Emperor has no cloths (meaning there is no reason to honour USD as it has no value) US will be bankrupt! USA will be un able to pay its debt.  What follows after that?  Well social unrest for sure.  This is why I call this bailout to be the last tango of federal reserve.

Lastly enjoy this scene from movie catch me if you can.  The printing press and flying treasury bills provide a glimpse of times in front of us.












Friday, January 3, 2020

The killing of Shahid Sardar Qasem Suleimani by coward Donald John Trump





On Friday the 2nd 2020 Gregorian calendar, 13 Day, 1398 Persian calendar and 7 Jumada Al-Awwal, 1441 Islamic calendar the USA did a mistake that she is going to regret for centuries and for epochs to come.

This is the date that will ultimately mark the day when US would have to leave middle east for good and if that happens Soleimani  martyrdom served Soleimani ultimate goal and it is going to be win win win for Iran.


Act 1: No war Iran wins

Solemani was The recognized leader of resistance not only in Middle east but also in the whole world.

“Martyr Suleimani is a worldwide Resistance icon, and all Resistance supporters are now his avengers” 
Imam Khamenei

He was Israel and USA enemy No 1 not the fake Abu Baker al Baghdadi enemy.  Despite that Solemani would roam from Lebnaon to Syria and from Syria to Iraq freely and not much secrecy.  At this moment when things were escalating he still traveled visibly and out in the open.  It almost feels like he was giving himself as a bait!  Did Americans take the bait?  Now Americans are at the mercy of a 5000 year old civilization and one can only pray for their soul.  As Putin said in his famous UN speech do you realize what have you done.  Iraqis were already working on a resolution in their parliament for USA to leave Iraq.  Iraq doesn't to become the ground for Iran USA proxy war.  The resistance within Iraq will increase against US presence.  Americans would have to leave Iraq and then Syria and if that happens Solemani ultimate aim accomplished and Iran won without firing a single shot.  This act can best be described by following grandmaster Clint Eastwood flick GrandTourino last scene:




Act 2: War (Asymmetrical), Iran wins

Iranians are masters of asymmetrical war and so we may see renewed resistance from Taliban (with the help of Iran).  New weapons, new tactics.  More body bags one by one to the American motherland and possibly they will do it at such a time to affect the US elections 2020.

It is so interesting as I was contemplating bit devilishly, like the WW2 era devil Winston Chrurchil quote:

Its boring without war!

I also thought how a war with Iran would be in fact useful for the world.  Here are the reasons:
  • This will end the era of continued US presence in the region
  • This will end the Saud dynasty in Arabia 
  • This will sow the seeds of the beginning of the end anomaly i.e Israel
  • This will weaken the US empire and hence most of the problems that US creates in this world
  • This will give rise to the wholly trinity the Russia China and Iran dominance of the world

Each of those points can be expanded

This will end the era of continued US presence in the region
USA is in no position to wage another war.  First of all they do not have populist support for war, 2nd America cannot win a war against Iran without using Nukes and so America would have to leave 

This will end the Saud dynasty in Arabia 
Iran will attack targets in Arabia and MBS would have no where to run.  Arabian resistance would be destroyed and Saud dynasty eliminated

This will sow the seeds of the beginning of the end of the anomaly i.e Israel

Ahmadi Najad once said:

"Even if holocaust happened what was the fault of Palestinians why they have to suffer"

Israel cannot tolerate a competent and ideological and principled rival.  With American humiliatingly defeated and gone Israel would no longer be able to bully arabs and this will start this anomaly to go back to its historic place that is one state of Palestine.

This will weaken the US empire and hence most of the problems that US creates in this world
With American defeated and weakened America would no longer be a global hegemon and go where it belongs – the dustbin of history!" 

This will give rise to the wholly trinity the Russia China and Iran dominance of the world
The dominance of holy trinity represented by 3 oldest civilization of the world:

China
Russia and
Iran

safeguarding each other sovereignty and regional interests and thus prevailing worldwide peace and prosperity


Act 3: All out war, Iran wins

In case of all out war all bets are off...and Iran would probably be nuked but the end result would be the same Iran wins and end of US empire

As Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin said:






Thursday, December 5, 2019

OneCoin, Stanford Prof and James Harden Dunk

May you live in interesting times!

The Missing Cryptoqueen






******CONCLUSION*****

  1. Kids if you are planning to study Law and get accepted at Stanford don't go there...
  2. Slam dunk like James Harden and
  3. Disappear like Ruja Ignatova

Thursday, October 31, 2019

"I gave you life, I give you death" Taras Bulba

The blondie beep beep grabber POTUS tweeted:


and next morning we came to know that Al Baghdadi was eliminated by US special forces.

Now over a week we hear chatter about it...one General explains how it happened and then another US propaganda machine aka, CNN, MSNBC, NYTimes and Bezos blog WaPo all mentioning something about it...

But what stuck in my mind was wasn't Al Baghdadi their guy but lets back track should we even believe what US presidents says when we know that they:


and so

  1. Epstien did a suicide
  2. Building 7 came down because of fires
  3. Iraq had WMDs
  4. Russia Gate
  5. Ukraine Gate
  6. etc etc etc
The list goes on and on and on.

So lets debunk this latest lie.  

We all know (well most of us except some kids who have a dog against everything Russian) skies over Syria are controlled by Russia.  Russia has a de facto no fly zone over Syria.  Its with their permission any flying object is permitted to fly.  

Without permission they have 30 secs to take evasive measures because thats how soon an S400 missile would take to say hello to the poor soul.  Based on that, Russians said nothing happened and we didn't detect anything.  No explosions no firefight no nothing.  Here is a report stating that:


No matter what, Baghdadi is dead (again).  He chose wrong friends.  He should have known history a bit better.  That those people whom side he decided to be on have a history of betraying their allies and in the end as in the above report Ramzan Kadyrov mentions the folklore about Russian Cossack Taras Bulba:

I gave you life and I give you death.




Thursday, October 3, 2019

Thursday, September 26, 2019

2019 Lavrov and Trump UNGA Speeches

I only bothered to hear Lavrov and Trump speech for all the right reasons.  While Lavrov speech is very important as the saying goes in Russia listen to Lavrov otherwise you would have to deal with Shoigu, the Russian defence minister.




Trump speech is even more important.  I think he is hitting at his local audience more than outside audience.  The so called globalist swamp.  However he addresses all the other clutter that is usually part of US president speech i.e 

how cool US is
US is champion of freedom and democracy(ask from Iraqis their answer: head for cover)
Best military in the world
and etc etc etc

In my view Trump a deal maker has to add these points to keep floating in the swamp. Otherwise 



But here is Trump Speech:






Kohestani people need a Mao!

We have to be very careful with our judgments.  The honour killings should never be associated with proud Pushtun people who, for one never accepted uninvited guests in their homelands and fought and continue to fight for their freedom no matter what the cost.  It is the same Pushtun people who didn't hand over an Arab blamed for 911 attacks only because he was their guest and demanded proofs from a hegemonic empire and took on all the bombs short of nukes vs their kalashnikovs and here we are today, they persist and having the last laugh...revenge is best served cold!

If you noticed I didn't say Taliban I said Pushtoons.  I use the word Taliban with some hesitation as it is mixed with Pushtoon struggle to malign its name. However Pushtoon (Taliban) who came to power after defeating all the mega corrupt warlords in Afghanistan after Soviets left should have been more careful in understanding how to rule a country after achieving military victory.

I know pushtoons very well as I lived with some pushtoons from area very close to Kohestan Pakistan.  They used to tell stories about their strict environment and Jirgas.  That all sounded cool but what I differ with them is hypocrisy.

A good example of this hypocrisy became viral in mainstream media and in international media when a video came out where some girls were singing and clapping and their brother was dancing.  As a result, possibly because of the reason that pushtoon women were exposed, all the people in the video have been killed or slaughtered.

To this terrorism and savagery intentionally given the name of following centuries old traditions however used to assert control over poor people, comes only one solution to my mind and it is this:  When Mao during his long march would enter a village and find out how the village chief was mistreating the people, he would give the gun to the most vulnerable of all and and weakest of all person in the village and tell him to blow the chiefs head off.  In my mind Kohestani people need a Mao.

In the end lets just enjoy this song


what's common in AliExpress German Engineering Italian Art and Russian Nostalgia: a Moon and a BMW

It's been a while since I wrote anything here. It's also been a while, longer, heavier, witnessing the ongoing Genocide. Lets do a H...